Netherlands · Derde Divisie - Relegation Round · Semi-finals12:30
SteDoCoLLLWL

31

Saturday, 30 May 2026

· Analysis updated 06:26 UTC

SteDoCo vs FC 's-Gravenzande Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for SteDoCo and 1.18 for FC 's-Gravenzande, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives SteDoCo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

SteDoCo or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

SteDoCo win44%
Draw26%
FC 's-Gravenzande win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • SteDoCo home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates SteDoCo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for SteDoCo and 1.18 for FC 's-Gravenzande, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

SteDoCo

  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs EVV · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs EVV · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-30T12:30:00.000Z · H vs FC 's-Gravenzande · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FC 's-Gravenzande · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kloetinge · 1-5 (L)

FC 's-Gravenzande

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Derde Divisie - Relegation Round table

    Full league page →
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    5SC Genemuiden3417512956
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    10VV Scherpenzeel34147131049
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    14Excelsior '313412418-840
    15Huizen3411716-1240
    16TEC3412418-1640
    17URK348719-3631
    18Hsc 21341528-748
    1Kloetinge3422752573
    2FC Lisse3420863468
    3Vvsb3421583368
    4Rijnvogels3419782464
    5Gemert34171072561
    6Roosendaal34159101354
    7TOGB3415811353
    8Zwaluwen34156131351
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    10Noordwijk3412814544
    11UDI '193411617-1739
    12UNA3410816-838
    13GOES3410717-1837
    14Groene Ster3410618-1936
    15SteDoCo3410420-3434
    16SVV Scheveningen349520-1632
    17Meerssen348719-2331
    18ASWH346721-4225

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.