Papara Park · Referee A. Karaoglan · Analysis updated 00:51 UTC
Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Trabzonspor and 0.93 for Gençlerbirliği S.K., a combined total of 2.42. That distribution gives Trabzonspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Trabzonspor to Win
50.6% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.3%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.8%
Why the model likes this
Trabzonspor home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trabzonspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 26% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Trabzonspor and 0.93 for Gençlerbirliği S.K., a combined 2.42 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Trabzonspor
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kasımpaşa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Göztepe · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Udinese · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Sadd · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 0-3 (L)
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.