Papara Park · Referee A. Karaoglan · Analysis updated 23:56 UTC
Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Trabzonspor and 0.93 for Gençlerbirliği S.K., a combined total of 2.42. That distribution gives Trabzonspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Trabzonspor to Win
50.6% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.3%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.8%
Why the model likes this
Trabzonspor home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trabzonspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 26% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Trabzonspor and 0.93 for Gençlerbirliği S.K., a combined 2.42 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Trabzonspor
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kasımpaşa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Göztepe · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Udinese · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Sadd · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 0-3 (L)
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Çorum FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.