University of Johannesburg W vs Tshwane University W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for University of Johannesburg W and 1.01 for Tshwane University W, a combined total of 2.39. That distribution gives University of Johannesburg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

University of Johannesburg W win

45.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.01

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Tshwane University W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates University of Johannesburg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 27% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for University of Johannesburg W and 1.01 for Tshwane University W, a combined 2.39 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

University of Johannesburg W win45%

Draw27%

Tshwane University W win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

1–112.8%
1–012.6%
0–19.3%
0–09.2%
2–18.8%

Recent form

University of Johannesburg W

Tshwane University W

2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs First Touch W · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs City Lads W · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ezemvelo W · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns W	5	5	0	0	21	15
2	JVW FC W	6	4	2	0	13	14
3	TS Galaxy W	6	4	1	1	7	13
4	University of Johannesburg W	6	3	2	1	5	11
5	Tshwane University W	6	3	2	1	4	11
6	Pretoria U. W	6	3	1	2	1	10
7	Ramatlaohle W	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	UWC W	6	3	1	2	-3	10
9	Copperbelt Ladies W	5	3	0	2	0	9
10	University of Fort Hare W	6	1	4	1	0	7
11	Richmond United W	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Ezemvelo W	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	First Touch W	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Diepkloof W	6	1	0	5	-10	3
15	Stellenbosch W	6	0	0	6	-11	0
16	City Lads W	6	0	0	6	-14	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is University of Johannesburg W win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.

A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.