Skytteholms IP · Analysis updated 03:51 UTC
Vasalund vs Stockholm Internazionale Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Vasalund and 1.65 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Stockholm Internazionale the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.
Model pick
Stockholm Internazionale to Win
46.8% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–27.5%
- 2–17.1%
Why the model likes this
Stockholm Internazionale away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stockholm Internazionale to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 29% / 24% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Vasalund and 1.65 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 3.20 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.70 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 1.91 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.20 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 4.20 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.67 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 2.10 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 2.70 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.42 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.57 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 2.15 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.80 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.18 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.30 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Vasalund
Stockholm Internazionale
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasalund · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Järfälla · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Enköping · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gefle IF · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FBK Karlstad · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 2-0 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
- 2026-06-08T17:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-4 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
- 2026-03-07T12:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 2-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-10-03T17:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-1 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
- 2025-06-19T17:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 0-0 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
- 2024-08-04T11:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
- 2024-06-20T16:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 0-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
- 2024-02-24T12:45:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2023-11-12T13:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-4 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
- 2023-06-17T11:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 3-0 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
Ettan - Norra table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby Talang | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 36 |
| 2 | IF Karlstad | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Stockholm Internazionale | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | Arlanda | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | AFC Eskilstuna | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 28 |
| 6 | Enköping | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | Karlberg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | Assyriska FF | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 23 |
| 10 | Gefle IF | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Vasalund | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Sollentuna | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -9 | 17 |
| 13 | Umeå FC | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Järfälla | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | Stocksund | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Piteå | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -18 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.