Sweden · Ettan - Norra · Norra - 1611:00
VasalundWDLLD

20

Sunday, 9 August 2026

Skytteholms IP · Analysis updated 03:53 UTC

Vasalund vs Stockholm Internazionale Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Vasalund and 1.65 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Stockholm Internazionale the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Stockholm Internazionale to Win

46.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.65

Model version

poisson-market-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Vasalund win29%
Draw24%
Stockholm Internazionale win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 0–27.5%
  • 2–17.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Stockholm Internazionale away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Stockholm Internazionale to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 29% / 24% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.25 goals for Vasalund and 1.65 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

Odds comparison

Indicative prices for the main markets.

MarketSelectionOddsBookmaker
Match ResultHome3.2010Bet
Match ResultDraw3.7010Bet
Match ResultAway1.9110Bet
GoalsOver 1.51.2010Bet
GoalsUnder 1.54.2010Bet
GoalsOver 2.51.6710Bet
GoalsUnder 2.52.1010Bet
GoalsOver 3.52.7010Bet
GoalsUnder 3.51.4210Bet
BTTSYes1.5710Bet
BTTSNo2.1510Bet
Double ChanceHome/Draw1.8010Bet
Double ChanceHome/Away1.1810Bet
Double ChanceDraw/Away1.3010Bet

Recent form

Vasalund

    Stockholm Internazionale

    • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasalund · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Järfälla · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Enköping · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gefle IF · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FBK Karlstad · 3-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 2-0 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
    • 2026-06-08T17:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-4 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
    • 2026-03-07T12:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 2-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Friendlies Clubs)
    • 2025-10-03T17:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-1 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
    • 2025-06-19T17:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 0-0 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
    • 2024-08-04T11:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
    • 2024-06-20T16:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 0-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
    • 2024-02-24T12:45:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Friendlies Clubs)
    • 2023-11-12T13:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 1-4 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
    • 2023-06-17T11:00:00.000Z · Vasalund 3-0 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)

    Ettan - Norra table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Hammarby Talang1711333036
    2IF Karlstad1711331536
    3Stockholm Internazionale169341630
    4Arlanda16862930
    5AFC Eskilstuna17845328
    6Enköping16916128
    7FBK Karlstad16745125
    8Karlberg17737324
    9Assyriska FF17656023
    10Gefle IF17629-1320
    11Vasalund16547-819
    12Sollentuna17386-917
    13Umeå FC17449-916
    14Järfälla174310-1415
    15Stocksund172510-711
    16Piteå162410-1810

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.