VfL Bochum vs Sheffield Utd Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for VfL Bochum and 1.63 for Sheffield Utd, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Sheffield Utd the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Sheffield Utd win

55.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

VfL Bochum win20%

Draw25%

Sheffield Utd win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

80%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

0–113.3%
1–111.7%
0–210.8%
1–29.5%
0–08.2%

Why the model likes this

Sheffield Utd away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sheffield Utd to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 20% / 25% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.88 goals for VfL Bochum and 1.63 for Sheffield Utd, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 47%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

VfL Bochum

Sheffield Utd

2026-08-15T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Birmingham · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Mansfield Town · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs VfL Bochum · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rotherham · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-21T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Huddersfield · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.