Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary13:30

7 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 09:08 UTC

Wolfsburg U19 vs Meppen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Wolfsburg U19 and 1.25 for Meppen U19, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Wolfsburg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wolfsburg U19 win

52.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Wolfsburg U19 home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Meppen U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wolfsburg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 23% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.88 goals for Wolfsburg U19 and 1.25 for Meppen U19, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wolfsburg U19 win52%
Draw23%
Meppen U19 win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–26.4%

Recent form

Wolfsburg U19

  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 6-0 (W)

Meppen U19

  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wolfsburg U19 win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.