Turkey · 2. Lig · 2. Lig Red Group - 414:00

14:00 UTC

Sunday, 27 September 2026

· Analysis updated 06:46 UTC

Yeni Orduspor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Yeni Orduspor and 1.18 for Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Yeni Orduspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Yeni Orduspor or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Yeni Orduspor win44%
Draw26%
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Yeni Orduspor home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Yeni Orduspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Yeni Orduspor and 1.18 for Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Yeni Orduspor

  • 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ayvalikgucu · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fatsa Belediyespor · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fatsa Belediyespor · 3-1 (W)

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.