· Analysis updated 14:34 UTC
Zlaté Moravce vs Komárno Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Zlaté Moravce and 1.10 for Komárno, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives Zlaté Moravce the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
71.0% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zlaté Moravce home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Komárno away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zlaté Moravce to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 26% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Zlaté Moravce and 1.10 for Komárno, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–08.1%
Recent form
Zlaté Moravce
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Bratislava · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Liptovský Mikuláš · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotíva Zvolen · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nová Baňa · 1-1 (D)
Komárno
- 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Podbrezová · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Novohrad Lučenec · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Skalica · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.