Dimitrovgrad vs Sozopol Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.66 expected goals for Dimitrovgrad and 1.42 for Sozopol, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Dimitrovgrad the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Dimitrovgrad or Draw

67.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dimitrovgrad win43%

Draw24%

Sozopol win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

1–110.8%
2–19.0%
1–27.7%
1–07.6%
0–16.5%

Why the model likes this

Sozopol away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dimitrovgrad to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 24% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.66 goals for Dimitrovgrad and 1.42 for Sozopol, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 61%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Dimitrovgrad

Sozopol

2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Plovdiv · 3-4 (L)
2026-05-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Rakovski 2011 · 4-1 (W)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sekirovo Rakovski · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sayana Haskovo · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.