· Analysis updated 05:58 UTC
Greifswalder FC vs Altglienicke Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.21 expected goals for Greifswalder FC and 1.82 for Altglienicke, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Greifswalder FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.
Model pick
Greifswalder FC to Win
47.4% probability
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.82
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.9%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–17.1%
- 1–26.5%
- 3–15.8%
Why the model likes this
Altglienicke away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Greifswalder FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 20% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.21 goals for Greifswalder FC and 1.82 for Altglienicke, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 75%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Greifswalder FC
Altglienicke
- 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Greifswalder FC · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Babelsberg 03 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-07-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Nordost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 |
| 3 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Magdeburg II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Hallescher FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | RSV Eintracht | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | BFC Dynamo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | BFC Preussen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.