Mikkelin Urheilupuisto · Referee K. Nummela · Analysis updated 23:46 UTC
MP vs Klubi-04 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for MP and 0.86 for Klubi-04, a combined total of 2.12. That distribution gives MP the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
MP to Win
45.3% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 0.86
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.1%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–012.1%
- 0–110.4%
- 2–09.4%
Why the model likes this
Klubi-04 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates MP to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 29% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for MP and 0.86 for Klubi-04, a combined 2.12 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 36% and both teams to score at 41%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Recent form
MP
Klubi-04
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · A vs EIF · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs KäPa · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.