Ottawa Rapid W vs Montreal Roses W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Ottawa Rapid W and 1.18 for Montreal Roses W, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Ottawa Rapid W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Ottawa Rapid W or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ottawa Rapid W win44%

Draw26%

Montreal Roses W win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ottawa Rapid W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Ottawa Rapid W and 1.18 for Montreal Roses W, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Ottawa Rapid W

Montreal Roses W

2026-08-07T23:10:00.000Z · H vs Halifax Tides W · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-30T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Vancouver Rise W · 4-3 (W)
2026-07-23T23:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Toronto W · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-12T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Halifax Tides W · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-04T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Vancouver Rise W · 5-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-06-25T23:00:00.000Z · Ottawa Rapid W 2-1 Montreal Roses W (Northern Super League)
2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · Ottawa Rapid W 1-2 Montreal Roses W (Northern Super League)
2025-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · Ottawa Rapid W 0-0 Montreal Roses W (Northern Super League)
2025-08-16T18:00:00.000Z · Ottawa Rapid W 2-0 Montreal Roses W (Northern Super League)
2025-06-14T18:15:00.000Z · Ottawa Rapid W 1-2 Montreal Roses W (Northern Super League)
2025-05-25T18:00:00.000Z · Ottawa Rapid W 1-1 Montreal Roses W (Northern Super League)
2025-05-03T17:30:00.000Z · Ottawa Rapid W 1-2 Montreal Roses W (Northern Super League)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.