Hungary · NB II · Regular Season - 617:00
SoroksarWWDW

17:00 UTC

Sunday, 30 August 2026

CsakvarWLL

· Analysis updated 02:56 UTC

Soroksar vs Csakvar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Soroksar and 0.84 for Csakvar, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Soroksar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws roughly 36% of the time.

Model pick

Soroksar to Win

64.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 0.84

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Soroksar win64%
Draw21%
Csakvar win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

36%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–011.7%
  • 2–011.6%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 3–07.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Soroksar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 21% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Soroksar and 0.84 for Csakvar, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    Soroksar to Win is the headline pick at 64% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Soroksar

    Csakvar

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Soroksar4310610
      2Gyirmot SE4310410
      3Kazincbarcikai422038
      4Kecskeméti TE421107
      5Fehérvár FC420226
      6Ajka312025
      7Tiszakecske FC312015
      8Szentlőrinc SE211014
      9Diosgyori VTK3111-34
      10Karcag SE303003
      11Csakvar3102-13
      12Mezokovesd-zsory3102-13
      13Nagykanizsai ULE4103-23
      14Szeged 20113012-21
      15BVSC3012-21
      16Kozarmisleny FC4004-80

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.