· Analysis updated 16:08 UTC
Soroksar vs Csakvar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.36 expected goals for Soroksar and 0.88 for Csakvar, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Soroksar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Soroksar win
83.6% probability
Expected goals
3.36 – 0.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Soroksar home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Csakvar away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Soroksar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 10% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.36 goals for Soroksar and 0.88 for Csakvar, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–09.1%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–18.0%
- 4–07.6%
- 2–17.2%
Recent form
Soroksar
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszakecske FC · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hévíz · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csakvar · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Szentlőrinc SE · 3-2 (W)
Csakvar
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyirmot SE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Szeged 2011 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Soroksar · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Kazincbarcikai · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Tiszakecske FC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Kecskeméti TE | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Gyirmot SE | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Kazincbarcikai | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Ajka | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Fehérvár FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Diosgyori VTK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 | Karcag SE | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Szentlőrinc SE | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | BVSC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Szeged 2011 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | Kozarmisleny FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Csakvar | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Soroksar win, at 83.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.