Faroe-Islands · Meistaradeildin · Matchweek 2417:30
07 VesturLWDLD

3 – 0

Saturday, 10 October 2026

· Referee R. Gaardbo · Analysis updated 17:39 UTC

07 Vestur vs EB / Streymur Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for 07 Vestur and 1.30 for EB / Streymur, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives 07 Vestur the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • 07 Vestur home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • EB / Streymur away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates 07 Vestur to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for 07 Vestur and 1.30 for EB / Streymur, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

07 Vestur win38%
Draw26%
EB / Streymur win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.1%

Recent form

07 Vestur

  • 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs EB / Streymur · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Gota · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs KI Klaksvik · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Skála · 1-1 (D)

EB / Streymur

  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs B68 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B36 Torshavn · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-31T17:30:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AB · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 2-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Meistaradeildin table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NSI Runavik2516632354
2KI Klaksvik2513932648
3HB Torshavn2513571444
4Vikingur Gota25101141041
5B36 Torshavn251096639
6EB / Streymur257513-1226
7Skála255911-1324
8AB257315-1424
907 Vestur256415-1822
10B68255515-2220

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.