· Referee A. de Albuquerque Troleis · Analysis updated 20:45 UTC
07 Vestur vs HB Torshavn Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for 07 Vestur and 1.82 for HB Torshavn, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives HB Torshavn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
HB Torshavn win
56.0% probability
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.82
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
07 Vestur home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
HB Torshavn away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates HB Torshavn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 21% / 23% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for 07 Vestur and 1.82 for HB Torshavn, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.6%
- 1–36.0%
Recent form
07 Vestur
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs EB / Streymur · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Gota · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs KI Klaksvik · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-30T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Skála · 1-1 (D)
HB Torshavn
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AB · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Skála · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Gota · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B68 · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 54 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | EB / Streymur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 26 |
| 7 | Skála | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -13 | 24 |
| 8 | AB | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -14 | 24 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 | B68 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -22 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is HB Torshavn win, at 56.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.