· Analysis updated 13:24 UTC
1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for 1860 München U19 and 2.80 for Bayern München U19, a combined total of 5.15. That distribution gives Bayern München U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bayern München U19 win
48.7% probability
Expected goals
2.35 – 2.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
1860 München U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bayern München U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.3%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–25.3%
- 1–35.0%
- 3–24.9%
Recent form
1860 München U19
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 4-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Wieseck U19 · 4-0 (W)
Bayern München U19
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Unterhaching U19 · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2025-10-26T10:00:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 1-2 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2025-10-04T10:30:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 1-0 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2024-11-02T09:30:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 2-2 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2024-08-18T09:00:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 2-3 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2024-03-03T10:00:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 3-2 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2023-09-24T11:00:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 0-0 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2023-03-25T13:00:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 1-2 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2022-08-13T09:00:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 1-4 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2017-02-04T13:00:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 0-3 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2016-08-21T09:00:00.000Z · 1860 München U19 1-2 Bayern München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bayern München U19 win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 85% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.