Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 1209:00

3 – 1

Sunday, 10 May 2026

· Analysis updated 18:39 UTC

1860 München U19 vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for 1860 München U19 and 1.50 for Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives 1860 München U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • 1860 München U19 home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates 1860 München U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.80 goals for 1860 München U19 and 1.50 for Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

1860 München U19 win45%
Draw23%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–06.6%

Recent form

1860 München U19

  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 4-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Wieseck U19 · 4-0 (W)

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

    A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.