Hungary · Magyar Kupa · 6th Round12:00
1908 SZACLLLLD

0 – 3

Saturday, 22 September 2018

Deák Ferenc Bamba Sporttelep (Budapest) · Analysis updated 15:04 UTC

1908 SZAC vs Bekescsaba 1912 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for 1908 SZAC and 1.87 for Bekescsaba 1912, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Bekescsaba 1912 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bekescsaba 1912 win

46.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.87

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • 1908 SZAC home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bekescsaba 1912 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bekescsaba 1912 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 31% / 22% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for 1908 SZAC and 1.87 for Bekescsaba 1912, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

1908 SZAC win31%
Draw22%
Bekescsaba 1912 win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 0–16.5%

Recent form

1908 SZAC

  • 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Haladás VSE · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MTE 1904 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dorogi FC · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Zalaegerszegi TE II · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Pápai Perutz · 1-2 (L)

Bekescsaba 1912

  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sándorfalva · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs BKV Előre · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hódmezővásárhely · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Csepel · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs ESMTK · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bekescsaba 1912 win, at 46.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.