· Analysis updated 01:25 UTC
2 Korriku vs Tefik Canga Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for 2 Korriku and 0.56 for Tefik Canga, a combined total of 1.74. That distribution gives 2 Korriku the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 25% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
2 Korriku win
51.3% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 0.56
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
2 Korriku home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Tefik Canga away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 2 Korriku to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 31% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for 2 Korriku and 0.56 for Tefik Canga, a combined 1.74 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–020.8%
- 0–017.6%
- 2–012.3%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–19.8%
Recent form
2 Korriku
- 2026-10-21T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vëllaznimi · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Istogu · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vjosa · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trepça'89 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ferizaj · 0-0 (D)
Tefik Canga
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Rilindja 1974 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs KF Lepenci · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kika · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Trepça Mitrovicë · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Ferizaj · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T14:30:00.000Z · 2 Korriku 1-0 Tefik Canga (Liga E Pare)
- 2026-03-28T14:00:00.000Z · 2 Korriku 2-1 Tefik Canga (Liga E Pare)
- 2025-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · 2 Korriku 0-2 Tefik Canga (Liga E Pare)
Liga E Pare table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liria Prizren | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Prishtina e Re | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Trepça'89 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Rilindja 1974 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Ferizaj | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Dinamo Ferizaj | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Suhareka | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 8 | 2 Korriku | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Vëllaznimi | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 10 | Istogu | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Vjosa | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 12 | FC Besa Peja | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Trepça Mitrovicë | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 11 |
| 14 | Kika | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | Ramiz Sadiku | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | KF Lepenci | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 | Tefik Canga | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Mitrovica | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is 2 Korriku win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 25%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.