· Analysis updated 02:41 UTC
24 de Setiembre vs Fulgencio Yegros Prediction, Odds & Statistics
24 de Setiembre vs Fulgencio Yegros in the Copa Paraguay: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fulgencio Yegros away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 24 de Setiembre to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for 24 de Setiembre and 1.18 for Fulgencio Yegros, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Why this is a baseline estimate
No fixture-specific data was available for 24 de Setiembre or Fulgencio Yegros yet, so these numbers are a Copa Paraguay scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Recent form
24 de Setiembre
Fulgencio Yegros
- 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs 4 de Mayo · 2-3 (L)
- 2025-05-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs 24 de Setiembre · 3-3 (D)
- 2025-05-28T22:00:00.000Z · A vs San Pedro Del Parana · 1-2 (L)
- 2024-07-11T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Atlético Tembetary · 0-1 (L)
- 2022-08-11T22:30:00.000Z · H vs General Caballero · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Copa Paraguay table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOL DE America | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Deportivo Recoleta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Atlético Tembetary | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Fernando De La Mora | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Olimpia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Nacional Asuncion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Independiente F.b.c. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 de Mayo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 de Mayo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Guairena FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sportivo Iteno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Libertad Asuncion | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | General Caballero | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | 29 de Septiembre FBC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Tacuary | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Rubio NU | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 20 | 1 de Marzo Pilar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | 12 de Octubre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Fulgencio Yegros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Club Guarani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Sportivo Trinidense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Resistencia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Sportivo Ameliano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Cristóbal Colón JAS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | Benjamín Aceval | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Deportivo Santani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Paraguari AC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Humaitá | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 32 | Deportivo Obrero | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.