· Analysis updated 14:35 UTC
3 de Noviembre vs Atlético Tembetary Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for 3 de Noviembre and 1.42 for Atlético Tembetary, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives 3 de Noviembre the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.0% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.42
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Atlético Tembetary away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 3 de Noviembre to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for 3 de Noviembre and 1.42 for Atlético Tembetary, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
3 de Noviembre
Atlético Tembetary
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tacuary · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Paraguari AC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-24T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportivo Iteno · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-21T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Benjamín Aceval · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-15T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Sportivo Carapeguá · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division Intermedia table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | General Caballero | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Deportivo Santani | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 54 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio VH | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 51 |
| 4 | Independiente F.b.c. | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Benjamín Aceval | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 42 |
| 6 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 42 |
| 7 | SOL DE America | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Resistencia | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Atlético Tembetary | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 11 | Fernando De La Mora | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportivo Capiata | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -4 | 32 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnación | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -15 | 22 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.