Denmark · 1. Division · Matchweek 516:30

1 – 1

Saturday, 22 August 2026

HvidovreDWWWD

Gladsaxe Stadium · Referee B. H. Svedborg · Analysis updated 06:07 UTC

AB Copenhagen vs Hvidovre Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.33 for Hvidovre, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Hvidovre the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

71.1% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • AB Copenhagen home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hvidovre away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

AB Copenhagen win29%
Draw28%
Hvidovre win44%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–113.0%
  • 0–112.6%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 1–28.6%

Recent form

AB Copenhagen

  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Esbjerg · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonderjyske · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hillerød · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Aalborg · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 1-2 (L)

Hvidovre

  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus Fremad · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Aalborg · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hobro · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T16:30:00.000Z · A vs AB Copenhagen · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-22T16:30:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 1-1 Hvidovre (1. Division)
  • 2026-02-02T13:00:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 1-2 Hvidovre (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2025-01-13T10:00:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 3-0 Hvidovre (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2023-01-14T00:00:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 3-1 Hvidovre (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2020-08-18T16:00:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 1-2 Hvidovre (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2017-10-06T16:30:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 0-2 Hvidovre (2nd Division - Group 1)
  • 2017-08-05T13:00:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 2-2 Hvidovre (2nd Division - Group 1)
  • 2015-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 2-1 Hvidovre (2nd Division - Group 1)
  • 2015-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 0-0 Hvidovre (2nd Division - Group 1)
  • 2014-05-29T13:00:00.000Z · AB Copenhagen 4-0 Hvidovre (1. Division)

1. Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hvidovre128401128
2Vejle12651923
3FC Fredericia125521020
4AB Copenhagen12534518
5Aarhus Fremad12363-115
6Hobro12435-715
7Aalborg12354-214
8Kolding IF12264-212
9Hillerød12336-312
10HB Koge12255-511
11Vendsyssel FF12255-711
12Esbjerg12246-810

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 71.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.