Gladsaxe Stadium · Analysis updated 10:46 UTC
AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.13 for Vendsyssel FF, a combined total of 2.53. That distribution gives AB Copenhagen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.7% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
AB Copenhagen home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Vendsyssel FF away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates AB Copenhagen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 27% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.13 for Vendsyssel FF, a combined 2.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–08.0%
Recent form
AB Copenhagen
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Esbjerg · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonderjyske · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hillerød · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Aalborg · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 1-2 (L)
Vendsyssel FF
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Aalborg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Randers FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus Fremad · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Esbjerg · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Vejle | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | AB Copenhagen | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Hobro | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Kolding IF | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Hillerød | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | HB Koge | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | Vendsyssel FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.