Skansi Arena · Referee B. Danielsen · Analysis updated 15:22 UTC
AB vs EB / Streymur Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.74 expected goals for AB and 1.44 for EB / Streymur, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives AB the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.0% probability
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.44
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
AB home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
EB / Streymur away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates AB to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.74 goals for AB and 1.44 for EB / Streymur, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
AB
- 2026-10-11T16:15:00.000Z · H vs B36 Torshavn · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs HB Torshavn · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs B68 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EB / Streymur · 0-2 (L)
EB / Streymur
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs B68 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B36 Torshavn · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-31T17:30:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AB · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 51 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 38 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | EB / Streymur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 26 |
| 7 | AB | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | -12 | 24 |
| 8 | Skála | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -13 | 23 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -17 | 22 |
| 10 | B68 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -23 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.