ABB vs The Strongest Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for ABB and 2.25 for The Strongest, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives The Strongest the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

The Strongest win

56.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.40 – 2.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

ABB home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
The Strongest away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates The Strongest to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 23% / 20% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for ABB and 2.25 for The Strongest, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

ABB win23%

Draw20%

The Strongest win57%

Double chance 1X

43%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–29.2%
1–18.2%
1–36.9%
0–26.6%
2–26.4%

Recent form

ABB

2026-10-16T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-10T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Oriente Petrolero · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Aurora · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z · A vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-29T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 1-3 (L)

The Strongest

2026-10-01T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Oriente Petrolero · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Guabirá · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Bolívar · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-15T21:15:00.000Z · A vs ABB · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Real Oruro · 5-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-09-15T21:15:00.000Z · ABB 1-2 The Strongest (Primera División)
2026-05-03T21:15:00.000Z · ABB 1-3 The Strongest (Primera División)
2025-11-02T19:00:00.000Z · ABB 1-2 The Strongest (Primera División)
2025-05-26T22:00:00.000Z · ABB 2-3 The Strongest (Primera División)

Primera División table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bolívar	22	16	3	3	34	51
2	Always Ready	22	14	6	2	35	48
3	The Strongest	22	13	6	3	17	45
4	Real Potosí	22	10	8	4	15	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	22	10	4	8	10	34
6	Aurora	22	7	10	5	3	31
7	Guabirá	22	8	6	8	-10	30
8	Blooming	22	6	10	6	7	28
9	Nacional Potosí	22	8	4	10	1	28
10	Real Oruro	22	8	3	11	-15	27
11	Independiente Petrolero	22	7	5	10	-10	26
12	Universitario de Vinto	22	6	3	13	-14	21
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	22	6	3	13	-20	21
14	ABB	22	6	2	14	-16	20
15	Real Tomayapo	22	5	5	12	-23	20
16	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	22	3	8	11	-14	17

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is The Strongest win, at 56.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.