Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium · Analysis updated 03:28 UTC
Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Abha and 1.25 for Al Khaleej Saihat, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Abha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Abha or Draw
65.9% probability
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.8%
Why the model likes this
Abha home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Abha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 26% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.37 goals for Abha and 1.25 for Al Khaleej Saihat, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Abha
- 2026-08-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Hazm · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Sharjah FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-13T14:50:00.000Z · A vs Al-Raed · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Adalah · 0-1 (L)
Al Khaleej Saihat
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Al-Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al-Hazm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEOM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Ittihad FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Taawon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Abha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Diriyah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Al-Fateh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.