· Analysis updated 02:01 UTC
Abu Qair Semad vs Dayrout Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Abu Qair Semad and 1.14 for Dayrout, a combined total of 2.39. That distribution gives Abu Qair Semad the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.5% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Abu Qair Semad home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Dayrout away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Abu Qair Semad to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 28% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Abu Qair Semad and 1.14 for Dayrout, a combined 2.39 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–110.4%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.2%
Recent form
Abu Qair Semad
- 2026-10-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AL Masry · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Asyut Petrol · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahly · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Zamalek SC · 0-2 (L)
Dayrout
- 2026-09-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Itesalat · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Masar · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-21T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-14T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Olympic El Qanah · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-07T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Masar · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Itesalat | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Pharco | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kahraba Ismailia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | AL Nasr SC | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Tersana | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | El Mansura | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | El Seka El Hadid | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Team | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | El Entag EL Harby | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ismaily SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Tanta SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | El Dakhleya | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Proxy | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | La Viena FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Dayrout | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 20 | Mega Sport | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.