Portugal · Júniores U19 · Matchweek 914:00

0 – 0

Saturday, 11 April 2026

· Analysis updated 12:43 UTC

Academico Viseu U19 vs Torreense U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for Academico Viseu U19 and 1.29 for Torreense U19, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Academico Viseu U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Academico Viseu U19 win

49.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.29

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Academico Viseu U19 home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Torreense U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Academico Viseu U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 23% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.82 goals for Academico Viseu U19 and 1.29 for Torreense U19, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Academico Viseu U19 win50%
Draw23%
Torreense U19 win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 1–26.8%

Recent form

Academico Viseu U19

  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Feirense U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Famalicão U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gil Vicente U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Braga U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rio Ave U19 · 1-1 (D)

Torreense U19

  • 2026-08-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Benfica U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Mafra U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Farense U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tondela U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Academico Viseu U19 · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Júniores U19 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Guimaraes U1910613319
1Benfica U1995311318
2Porto U1996121219
2Sporting CP U198521417
3Gil Vicente U199423-114
3Santa Clara U198422814
4Rio Ave U199423114
4Torreense U199423214
5Academico Viseu U199414513
5Oriental U199333012
6Sporting Braga U199324-111
6Casa Pia U199333112
7Feirense U199324-211
7Mafra U199333-412
8Famalicão U1910244-410
8SC Farense U199225-68
9Moreirense U199234-39
9União Leiria U199135-116
10Vizela U199225-108
10Alverca U199135-76

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Academico Viseu U19 win, at 49.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.