· Analysis updated 15:51 UTC
ACS Mediaş 2022 vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for ACS Mediaş 2022 and 1.54 for ARO Muscelul Câmpulung, a combined total of 3.87. That distribution gives ACS Mediaş 2022 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
ACS Mediaş 2022 win
55.2% probability
Expected goals
2.33 – 1.54
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
ACS Mediaş 2022 home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ACS Mediaş 2022 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 20% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.33 goals for ACS Mediaş 2022 and 1.54 for ARO Muscelul Câmpulung, a combined 3.87 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 1–17.5%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–25.8%
Recent form
ACS Mediaş 2022
- 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tricolorul Breaza · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Carpati Covasna · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baicoi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 1-3 (L)
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ACS Mediaş 2022 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Corona Braşov · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Valenii de Munte · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpic Zărneşti · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · ACS Mediaş 2022 1-1 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung (Liga III - Serie 2)
- 2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · ACS Mediaş 2022 1-3 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung (Liga III - Serie 6)
- 2025-12-12T12:00:00.000Z · ACS Mediaş 2022 3-3 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung (Liga III - Serie 6)
- 2025-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · ACS Mediaş 2022 1-1 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung (Liga III - Serie 6)
Liga III - Serie 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corona Braşov | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 23 |
| 2 | ACS Mediaş 2022 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Baicoi | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Olimpic Zărneşti | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Inter Sibiu | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Sepsi II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Valenii de Munte | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Săcele | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Tricolorul Breaza | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 4 |
| 11 | Carpati Covasna | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -27 | 1 |
| 12 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ACS Mediaş 2022 win, at 55.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.