Romania · Liga III - Serie 2 · Group 2 - 812:00

4 – 1

Friday, 9 October 2026

· Analysis updated 00:02 UTC

ACS Mediaş 2022 vs Kids Tâmpa Braşov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.95 expected goals for ACS Mediaş 2022 and 0.87 for Kids Tâmpa Braşov, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives ACS Mediaş 2022 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

ACS Mediaş 2022 win

79.3% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.95 – 0.87

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • ACS Mediaş 2022 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates ACS Mediaş 2022 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 13% / 8% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.95 goals for ACS Mediaş 2022 and 0.87 for Kids Tâmpa Braşov, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 55%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

ACS Mediaş 2022 win79%
Draw13%
Kids Tâmpa Braşov win8%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 2–09.5%
  • 3–09.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 4–06.9%

Recent form

ACS Mediaş 2022

  • 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tricolorul Breaza · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Carpati Covasna · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baicoi · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 1-3 (L)

Kids Tâmpa Braşov

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga III - Serie 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Corona Braşov108202926
    2ACS Mediaş 2022107211123
    3Baicoi106401722
    4Olimpic Zărneşti10613-519
    5Inter Sibiu106041118
    6Sepsi II10505-115
    7Săcele10505-115
    8ARO Muscelul Câmpulung10343313
    9Valenii de Munte10415-113
    10Tricolorul Breaza10118-184
    11Kids Tâmpa Braşov10109-153
    12Carpati Covasna10019-301

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is ACS Mediaş 2022 win, at 79.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

    A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.