Sportpark ICT Specialist · Analysis updated 13:52 UTC
ACV vs Westlandia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for ACV and 1.03 for Westlandia, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives ACV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
ACV win
68.8% probability
Expected goals
2.46 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
ACV home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Westlandia away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ACV to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 17% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.46 goals for ACV and 1.03 for Westlandia, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
31%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 2–09.2%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.7%
- 3–07.6%
Recent form
ACV
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs VV Scherpenzeel · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs SVZW · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoogeveen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Staphorst · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Eemdijk · 5-1 (W)
Westlandia
- 2025-09-02T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lisse · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-08-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Excelsior Maassluis · 0-2 (L)
- 2024-06-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Achilles Veen · 0-2 (L)
- 2024-05-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Achilles Veen · 0-3 (L)
- 2023-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs RKAV Volendam · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ACV win, at 68.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.