Austria · Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga · Vorarlberg - 2114:00

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Saturday, 16 May 2026

BizauLWDWD

Sportplatz Admira Dornbirn · Analysis updated 15:13 UTC

Admira Dornbirn vs Bizau Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.88 expected goals for Admira Dornbirn and 1.47 for Bizau, a combined total of 4.35. That distribution gives Admira Dornbirn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Admira Dornbirn win

66.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.88 – 1.47

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Admira Dornbirn home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bizau away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Admira Dornbirn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 16% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.88 goals for Admira Dornbirn and 1.47 for Bizau, a combined 4.35 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Admira Dornbirn win66%
Draw16%
Bizau win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

34%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals63%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 2–17.9%
  • 3–17.5%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 3–25.6%
  • 1–15.5%

Recent form

Admira Dornbirn

  • 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lochau · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hard · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-03T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Nenzing · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfurt · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dornbirner SV · 2-0 (W)

Bizau

  • 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Blau-Weiß Feldkirch · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Egg · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-03T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Göfis · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rotenberg · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ludesch · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Röthis2515552750
2Wolfurt25150101245
3Lochau2514381145
4FC Egg2414281144
5Admira Dornbirn2513481043
6Dornbirner SV2510781537
7Hard2411211-235
8Ludesch2510410234
9Blau-Weiß Feldkirch239311-1130
10Austria Lustenau II2510213-132
11Rotenberg268711-331
12Bizau256712-1625
13Nenzing256414-2822
14Göfis243615-2815

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Admira Dornbirn win, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.