· Analysis updated 20:04 UTC
Admira Praha vs Dukla Praha II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Admira Praha and 1.50 for Dukla Praha II, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Admira Praha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.5% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Admira Praha home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dukla Praha II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.1%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Admira Praha
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Aritma Praha · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha II · 1-1 (D)
Dukla Praha II
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 1-1 Dukla Praha II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2026-08-01T08:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 2-2 Dukla Praha II (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-05-17T08:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 0-3 Dukla Praha II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2025-10-19T08:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 2-2 Dukla Praha II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2025-05-11T08:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 0-6 Dukla Praha II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2024-08-11T08:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 1-0 Dukla Praha II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2024-05-05T08:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 1-1 Dukla Praha II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2023-10-08T08:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 1-1 Dukla Praha II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2023-03-05T09:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 0-2 Dukla Praha II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2022-08-07T08:15:00.000Z · Admira Praha 2-1 Dukla Praha II (3. liga - CFL A)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.