Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · Group A - 308:15
Admira PrahaLDWWL

1 – 3

Sunday, 23 August 2026

Příbram IIDDDDW

Stadium Admira Prague · Analysis updated 07:55 UTC

Admira Praha vs Příbram II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.91 expected goals for Admira Praha and 1.71 for Příbram II, a combined total of 3.62. That distribution gives Admira Praha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.91 – 1.71

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Admira Praha home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Příbram II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Admira Praha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 22% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.91 goals for Admira Praha and 1.71 for Příbram II, a combined 3.62 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Admira Praha win43%
Draw22%
Příbram II win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–18.8%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 3–15.3%

Recent form

Admira Praha

  • 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Aritma Praha · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha II · 1-1 (D)

Příbram II

  • 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aritma Praha · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Písek · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha II · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1České Budějovice128222126
2Králův Dvůr118211326
3Viktoria Plzeň II117221123
4Motorlet Praha12723923
5Jiskra Domažlice12633221
6Loko Vltavín12534-218
7Sparta Praha II104421016
8Slavia III12426114
9Admira Praha12426-414
10Písek12354-614
11Příbram II11344-113
12Bohemians 1905 II12345-513
13Dukla Praha II12255-311
14Benešov11245-810
15Aritma Praha12165-179
16Povltava FA120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.