· Analysis updated 09:20 UTC
Admira Wacker vs Fach-Donaufeld Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Admira Wacker and 2.68 for Fach-Donaufeld, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Fach-Donaufeld the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fach-Donaufeld win
61.0% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 2.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Admira Wacker home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fach-Donaufeld away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fach-Donaufeld to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 21% / 18% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Admira Wacker and 2.68 for Fach-Donaufeld, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.0%
- 1–37.2%
- 2–26.3%
- 1–16.0%
- 2–35.6%
Recent form
Admira Wacker
- 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Wacker Innsbruck · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Floridsdorfer AC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Voitsberg · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-18T18:30:00.000Z · A vs FC BW Linz · 0-3 (L)
Fach-Donaufeld
- 2026-10-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Krems / Rehberg · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Donau · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Leobendorf · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Wienerberg · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloggnitz · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fach-Donaufeld win, at 61.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.