WerkTalent Stadion · Analysis updated 15:29 UTC
ADO Den Haag W vs PSV/Eindhoven W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for ADO Den Haag W and 3.00 for PSV/Eindhoven W, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives PSV/Eindhoven W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
PSV/Eindhoven W win
82.1% probability
Expected goals
0.75 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
ADO Den Haag W home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
PSV/Eindhoven W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
18%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.6%
- 0–310.6%
- 0–47.9%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–37.9%
Recent form
ADO Den Haag W
- 2026-09-20T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Heerenveen W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T14:45:00.000Z · A vs De Graafschap W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:45:00.000Z · A vs PEC Zwolle W · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Twente W · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-08-16T14:45:00.000Z · A vs AZ W · 1-2 (L)
PSV/Eindhoven W
- 2026-10-18T10:15:00.000Z · A vs Ajax W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:45:00.000Z · A vs ADO Den Haag W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs De Graafschap W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-08T18:00:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 0-2 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2025-12-07T15:45:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 0-2 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2025-01-25T15:30:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 1-1 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2024-11-10T11:15:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 0-2 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2024-01-28T11:15:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 1-3 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2023-09-15T17:30:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 0-0 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2023-04-21T17:30:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 1-2 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2022-10-02T10:15:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 1-1 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2022-03-04T18:30:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 1-0 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2021-12-19T11:15:00.000Z · ADO Den Haag W 1-2 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
Eredivisie Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 |
| 2 | Ajax W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | AZ W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 12 |
| 4 | PSV/Eindhoven W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Heerenveen W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 6 | ADO Den Haag W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 7 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 8 | De Graafschap W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | Feyenoord W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 10 | Utrecht W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is PSV/Eindhoven W win, at 82.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.