· Analysis updated 06:14 UTC
ADR Jicaral vs Inter San Carlos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for ADR Jicaral and 1.05 for Inter San Carlos, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives ADR Jicaral the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.0% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
ADR Jicaral home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Inter San Carlos away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ADR Jicaral to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 30% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for ADR Jicaral and 1.05 for Inter San Carlos, a combined 2.15 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.5%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–112.2%
- 0–011.6%
- 2–17.4%
Recent form
ADR Jicaral
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Aserri FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Municipal Grecia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Quepos Cambute · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Cruz FC · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z · A vs AD Cofutpa · 1-0 (W)
Inter San Carlos
- 2026-09-20T23:00:00.000Z · A vs LD Alajuelense · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Puntarenas FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Escorpiones Belén · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting San Jose · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Saprissa · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga de Ascenso table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aserri FC | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 33 |
| 2 | Santa Ana | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | ADR Jicaral | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Quepos Cambute | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | AD Carmelita | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Cariari Pococi | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Municipal Grecia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Guadalupe FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | AD Sarchí | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Futbol Consultants Moravia | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | CS Uruguay | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 13 | AD Cofutpa | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Santa Cruz FC | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.