· Analysis updated 11:18 UTC
ADR Jicaral vs Municipal Grecia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for ADR Jicaral and 0.66 for Municipal Grecia, a combined total of 2.19. That distribution gives ADR Jicaral the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
ADR Jicaral win
58.2% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.66
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
ADR Jicaral home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Municipal Grecia away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–017.2%
- 2–013.1%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–011.2%
- 2–18.6%
Recent form
ADR Jicaral
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Aserri FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Municipal Grecia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Quepos Cambute · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Cruz FC · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z · A vs AD Cofutpa · 1-0 (W)
Municipal Grecia
- 2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Quepos Cambute · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T02:00:00.000Z · H vs ADR Jicaral · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-08T01:00:00.000Z · A vs AD Cofutpa · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-30T00:00:00.000Z · H vs AD Sarchí · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Aserri FC · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-15T17:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 1-1 Municipal Grecia (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2026-02-02T23:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 2-0 Municipal Grecia (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2025-10-19T00:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 3-0 Municipal Grecia (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2025-09-03T19:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 1-0 Municipal Grecia (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2025-03-23T17:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 3-0 Municipal Grecia (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2025-02-11T02:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 1-1 Municipal Grecia (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2024-10-06T19:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 2-1 Municipal Grecia (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2024-08-25T17:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 1-2 Municipal Grecia (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2022-04-16T21:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 1-1 Municipal Grecia (Primera División)
- 2022-01-22T20:00:00.000Z · ADR Jicaral 0-1 Municipal Grecia (Primera División)
Liga de Ascenso table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aserri FC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 33 |
| 2 | Santa Ana | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | ADR Jicaral | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Quepos Cambute | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Cariari Pococi | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Municipal Grecia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Guadalupe FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | AD Sarchí | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | AD Carmelita | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 11 | Futbol Consultants Moravia | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | CS Uruguay | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -17 | 9 |
| 13 | AD Cofutpa | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 14 | Santa Cruz FC | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ADR Jicaral win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.