Ammochostos Stadium · Analysis updated 15:12 UTC
AE Zakakiou vs Ahironas / Onisilos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for AE Zakakiou and 1.45 for Ahironas / Onisilos, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives AE Zakakiou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
AE Zakakiou win
48.2% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
AE Zakakiou home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ahironas / Onisilos away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates AE Zakakiou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 22% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for AE Zakakiou and 1.45 for Ahironas / Onisilos, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–27.0%
- 1–06.7%
- 2–26.7%
Recent form
AE Zakakiou
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Digenis Morphou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ahironas / Onisilos · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-04-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Ethnikos Latsion · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-03-21T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Iraklis Yerolakkou · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-03-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartakos Kitiou · 2-4 (L)
Ahironas / Onisilos
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartakos Kitiou · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AE Zakakiou · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-04-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Halkanoras · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-03-21T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Ethnikos Latsion · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs APEA · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethnikos Achna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | ASIL Lysi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Enosis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Doxa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | PAEEK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ermis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | APEA | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Spartakos Kitiou | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Digenis Morphou | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Polemidion | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Ayia Napa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Halkanoras | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Akritas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | MEAP Nisou | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Anagennisi Deryneia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is AE Zakakiou win, at 48.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.