Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · Regular Season - 113:15

13

Saturday, 15 August 2026

Sportpark Goed Genoeg · Analysis updated 03:33 UTC

AFC Amsterdam vs Kloetinge Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for AFC Amsterdam and 1.12 for Kloetinge, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives AFC Amsterdam the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

AFC Amsterdam or Draw

69.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-market-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

AFC Amsterdam win43%
Draw27%
Kloetinge win31%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–08.2%

Why the model likes this

  • AFC Amsterdam home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kloetinge away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates AFC Amsterdam to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 27% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.38 goals for AFC Amsterdam and 1.12 for Kloetinge, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.

Odds comparison

Indicative prices for the main markets.

MarketSelectionOddsBookmaker
Match ResultHome2.05William Hill
Match ResultDraw3.30William Hill
Match ResultAway2.90William Hill
BTTSYes1.55William Hill
BTTSNo2.25William Hill
Double ChanceHome/Draw1.33William Hill
Double ChanceHome/Away1.25William Hill
Double ChanceDraw/Away1.70William Hill

Recent form

AFC Amsterdam

  • 2026-08-15T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Kloetinge · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T13:30:00.000Z · A vs GVVV Veenendaal · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-09T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Excelsior Maassluis · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-04-25T12:30:00.000Z · A vs RKAV Volendam · 3-0 (W)

Kloetinge

  • 2026-08-15T13:15:00.000Z · A vs AFC Amsterdam · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs SteDoCo · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-16T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Noordwijk · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Groene Ster · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zwaluwen · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tweede Divisie table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sparta Rotterdam II110053
2Quick Boys110053
3De Treffers110043
4Almere City II110043
5HHC110023
6Hoek110023
7Kloetinge110023
8Ijsselmeervogels110013
9Spakenburg110013
10Kozakken Boys1001-10
11Katwijk1001-10
12AFC Amsterdam1001-20
13Barendrecht1001-20
14Koninklijke HFC1001-20
15GVVV Veenendaal1001-40
16Rijnsburgse Boys1001-40
17ROHDA Raalte1001-50
18RKAV Volendam1001-50

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.