Zimbabwe · Premier Soccer League · Matchweek 3013:00
AgamaWLLWL

1 – 2

Saturday, 10 October 2026

HuntersWWWDL

· Analysis updated 14:17 UTC

Agama vs Hunters Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.89 expected goals for Agama and 1.04 for Hunters, a combined total of 1.93. That distribution gives Hunters the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

69.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.89 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Agama home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hunters away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hunters to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 30% / 31% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.89 goals for Agama and 1.04 for Hunters, a combined 1.93 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Agama win30%
Draw31%
Hunters win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams to score38%

Correct score

  • 0–115.1%
  • 0–014.6%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–27.9%

Recent form

Agama

  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Scotland Mabvuku · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Manica Diamonds · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Platinum · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ngezi Platinum · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Simba Bhora · 2-1 (W)

Hunters

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Agama · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Manica Diamonds · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngezi Platinum · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hardrock · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Triangle United · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier Soccer League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hardrock3120653566
2Scotland Mabvuku30171033461
3Ngezi Platinum31141341355
4Dynamos31121541751
5CAPS United31131261151
6Herentals3114611248
7MWOS31111281045
8Highlanders319166443
9Chicken Inn3011910-142
10Platinum318167-340
11Simba Bhora3191210039
12Hunters3171410-1035
13Kariba3161411-932
14Bulawayo Chiefs3171014-1231
15Agama317717-2128
16Triangle United315917-1724
17TelOne3141017-2322
18Manica Diamonds314918-3021

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.