Ajax vs Vojvodina Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.00 expected goals for Ajax and 1.00 for Vojvodina, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Ajax the largest share of the 1X2 market at 87%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 87% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Ajax win

87.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

4.00 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ajax win87%

Draw8%

Vojvodina win5%

Double chance 1X

95%

Double chance 12

92%

Double chance X2

13%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%

Over 2.5 goals85%

Over 3.5 goals71%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

3–07.2%
3–17.2%
4–07.2%
4–17.2%
5–05.7%

Why the model likes this

Ajax home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ajax to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 87%, against 87% / 8% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.00 goals for Ajax and 1.00 for Vojvodina, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 85% and both teams to score at 61%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Recent form

Ajax

2026-08-13T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Shelbourne · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs PEC Zwolle · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Shelbourne · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-02T12:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Volendam · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Vojvodina · 4-1 (W)

Vojvodina

Head-to-head

2026-07-30T18:00:00.000Z · Ajax 4-1 Vojvodina (UEFA Europa Conference League)
2026-07-23T18:00:00.000Z · Ajax 4-1 Vojvodina (UEFA Europa Conference League)
2024-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · Ajax 3-1 Vojvodina (UEFA Europa League)
2024-07-25T18:30:00.000Z · Ajax 1-0 Vojvodina (UEFA Europa League)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.