Ajman Stadium · Referee S. Nabil · Analysis updated 15:24 UTC
Ajman vs Hatta SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for Ajman and 1.50 for Hatta SC, a combined total of 4.01. That distribution gives Ajman the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Ajman win
59.6% probability
Expected goals
2.51 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ajman home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hatta SC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.2%
- 1–16.8%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–05.7%
Recent form
Ajman
- 2026-09-19T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Sharjah FC · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Ittihad Kalba · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Al Nasr · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T13:55:00.000Z · A vs Al-Jazira · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hatta SC · 4-3 (W)
Hatta SC
- 2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Dubai United · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Baniyas SC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T13:55:00.000Z · H vs Sharjah FC · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · Ajman 4-3 Hatta SC (Pro League)
- 2024-05-05T14:05:00.000Z · Ajman 0-0 Hatta SC (Pro League)
- 2024-02-16T16:20:00.000Z · Ajman 1-0 Hatta SC (Presidents Cup)
- 2023-12-01T12:45:00.000Z · Ajman 1-1 Hatta SC (Pro League)
- 2021-02-13T16:15:00.000Z · Ajman 0-3 Hatta SC (Pro League)
- 2020-10-30T14:15:00.000Z · Ajman 0-0 Hatta SC (Pro League)
- 2019-12-27T16:30:00.000Z · Ajman 3-1 Hatta SC (Pro League)
- 2019-08-22T15:15:00.000Z · Ajman 0-0 Hatta SC (League Cup)
- 2018-04-28T14:00:00.000Z · Ajman 0-1 Hatta SC (Pro League)
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Ain | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Al-Wasl FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | Ajman | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Wahda FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Sharjah FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Dubai United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Al Nasr | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 11 | Khorfakkan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 12 | Al-Dhafra | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Hatta SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Baniyas SC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ajman win, at 59.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.