Akron vs Dynamo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Akron and 1.83 for Dynamo, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Dynamo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Dynamo win

56.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Akron home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dynamo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 21% / 23% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for Akron and 1.83 for Dynamo, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Akron win21%

Draw23%

Dynamo win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–110.8%
0–110.6%
1–29.9%
0–29.6%
1–36.0%

Recent form

Akron

2026-09-17T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Akhmat · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-13T16:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Krasnodar · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Orenburg · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-01T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs CSKA Moscow · 2-2 (D)

Dynamo

2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Rodina Moskva · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-17T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Rostov · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Orenburg · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Moscow · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-03T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Akhmat · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dynamo	10	7	1	2	7	22
2	CSKA Moscow	10	6	4	0	9	22
3	Zenit	10	7	0	3	11	21
4	FC Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	6	21
5	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	9	20
6	Rubin	10	2	6	2	0	12
7	FC Orenburg	10	2	6	2	1	12
8	Baltika	10	3	3	4	2	12
9	Dinamo Makhachkala	10	4	0	6	-5	12
10	Krylia Sovetov	10	2	6	2	-1	12
11	Akhmat	10	2	5	3	0	11
12	FC Rostov	10	3	2	5	-6	11
13	Lokomotiv	10	2	4	4	2	10
14	Akron	10	1	5	4	-8	8
15	Rodina Moskva	10	1	2	7	-15	5
16	Fakel	10	0	3	7	-12	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dynamo win, at 56.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.