· Analysis updated 14:12 UTC
Al Fahaheel vs Al Sulaibikhat Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Al Fahaheel and 1.50 for Al Sulaibikhat, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Al Fahaheel the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Al Fahaheel win
50.4% probability
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Fahaheel home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Sulaibikhat away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Fahaheel to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 21% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.05 goals for Al Fahaheel and 1.50 for Al Sulaibikhat, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–26.6%
- 3–16.2%
Recent form
Al Fahaheel
- 2026-10-18T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Al Shabab · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Al Sahel · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Qadsia · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T17:50:00.000Z · H vs Al Tadhamon · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Nasar · 1-2 (L)
Al Sulaibikhat
- 2026-10-23T14:35:00.000Z · A vs Kazma · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-19T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Kuwait · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-11T17:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Jahra · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T17:50:00.000Z · A vs Al Arabi · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-31T15:40:00.000Z · H vs Al Shabab · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Kuwait | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 |
| 2 | Kazma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Al Nasar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Fahaheel | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Qadsia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Salmiyah | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Shabab | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Jahra | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Al Sahel | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Sulaibikhat | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Tadhamon | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Fahaheel win, at 50.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.