Amman International Stadium · Analysis updated 09:57 UTC
Al Faisaly vs Al Hussein Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Al Faisaly and 1.73 for Al Hussein, a combined total of 3.57. That distribution gives Al Faisaly the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.0% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Faisaly home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Hussein away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.0%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.2%
Recent form
Al Faisaly
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ramtha · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nahda · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Buqa'a · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rayyan SC · 3-4 (L)
Al Hussein
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Shabab Al Ordon · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs East Bengal II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Buqa'a · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazeera · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 2-1 Al Hussein (Super Cup)
- 2026-05-08T16:45:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 0-1 Al Hussein (League)
- 2026-04-12T16:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 1-0 Al Hussein (League)
- 2025-12-13T17:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 2-0 Al Hussein (Shield Cup)
- 2025-09-13T16:30:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 1-1 Al Hussein (League)
- 2025-05-08T16:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 0-1 Al Hussein (Cup)
- 2025-04-04T16:45:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 1-1 Al Hussein (League)
- 2024-10-19T16:45:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 0-1 Al Hussein (League)
- 2024-05-20T16:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 1-0 Al Hussein (League)
- 2023-12-14T15:30:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 1-1 Al Hussein (League)
Super Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Faisaly | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Al Hussein | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Wihdat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Ramtha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.