Amman International Stadium · Analysis updated 15:55 UTC
Al Faisaly vs Al Ramtha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Al Faisaly and 1.07 for Al Ramtha, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Al Faisaly the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Faisaly win
61.8% probability
Expected goals
2.14 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Faisaly home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Ramtha away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–17.0%
Recent form
Al Faisaly
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ramtha · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nahda · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Buqa'a · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rayyan SC · 3-4 (L)
Al Ramtha
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hussein · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hussein · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-07T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Al Buqa'a · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-05-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 1-1 Al Ramtha (Cup)
- 2026-05-03T16:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 3-2 Al Ramtha (League)
- 2026-01-29T15:30:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 1-1 Al Ramtha (League)
- 2025-12-04T17:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 3-1 Al Ramtha (Shield Cup)
- 2025-08-15T17:45:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 0-1 Al Ramtha (League)
- 2025-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 1-0 Al Ramtha (League)
- 2024-11-02T16:45:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 0-0 Al Ramtha (League)
- 2024-08-30T18:30:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 0-2 Al Ramtha (Shield Cup)
- 2024-03-03T14:00:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 3-0 Al Ramtha (League)
- 2023-08-11T18:30:00.000Z · Al Faisaly 1-0 Al Ramtha (League)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Faisaly win, at 61.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.